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ECB’s Šimkus: Eurozone inflation depends on EU retaliation to the US

European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Gediminas Šimkus said on Friday that “Eurozone inflation depends on EU retaliation to the US.”

Further comments

  • Geopolitics since the starts of the year is bad news for the economy.
  • There is downward pressure on inflation.
  • Need to watch for China goods rerouting to Europe.
  • ECB June projections may be a little bit worse.
  • June ECB cut is needed.
  • There is no central scenario for ECB rates.
  • It’s unclear if a post-June cut will be in July or September.
  • We are more or less there on inflation.
  • Quite high chances we’ll be undershooting on inflation.

Market reaction

EUR/USD was last seen trading at 1.1246, up 0.16% on the day.

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